That's great news for BRS!
9 million this time next year possible?
 
I've just gone back through the topic and this time last year the rolling 12-month figure posted at the end of June was 7,135,974. That's nearly 1 million increase on 2016!!
 
I've just gone back through the topic and this time last year the rolling 12-month figure posted at the end of June was 7,135,974. That's nearly 1 million increase on 2016!!
852,505 in June which is an increase of 10.2% on June 2016, with atms up 5.3%. Rolling 12-month total 8,004,995, up 12.2% on a year ago.

Again a much higher monthly figure than BRS's own stats - over 10,000 more passengers shown by the CAA and both their and BRS figures only include terminal passengers, not transit albeit the latter don't amount to much - a few hundred a month usually. BRS itself will probably get through the 8 million 12-month barrier in July when we can expect a press release. Why they want to always play down their own numbers I have no idea. They've been doing it for years.

The CAA showed BRS breaching 7 million in a 12-month period for the first time in April 2016 so that's a million more in 14 months since then.

In fact, the past two and a half years have seen an extra 1.671 million passengers, viz,

End of 2014 6.333 million
End of 2015 6.781 million + 448,000 (+ 7.1%)
End of 2016 7.604 million + 823,000 (+ 12.1%)
End of June 2017 8.004 million + 400,000 (+ 5.2%; annualised 10.4%)

So if the gain in passenger numbers continues at the same rate as the first six months of the year 2017 as a whole will see around 8.4 million passengers, giving an overall gain in excess of 2 million passengers in three years.
That's great news for BRS!
9 million this time next year possible?
Possible by the end of 2018. Obviously depends on many things, not least Brexit.

Some have said that there is now a danger of galloping on too quickly - there is a strong argument that says that point has already been reached - with infrastructure, despite seeing a spend of £160 million since 2010, struggling to keep up at peak times.

The airport owners' main objective will always be the balance sheet and if the profits continue to surge they will only be concerned about the passenger experience if that has a significant negative effect on profitability. Despite many complaints on social media sites and elsewhere about queuing and overcrowding passengers flock to the airport in the ever increasing numbers that we are seeing.
 
I see the EasyJet route to ncl had a 13% increase in pax for june. They cut a few rotations and bad times to ncl back along,does this still apply or did they reinstate rotations with better timings
 
I see the EasyJet route to ncl had a 13% increase in pax for june. They cut a few rotations and bad times to ncl back along,does this still apply or did they reinstate rotations with better timings
No, still the same as it's been now for a few years.

Just 2 x daily on M, Th, F and Sun and daily Tu, W and Sat, with the only morning rotations being on Monday and Saturday. Winter is marginally better with F and Sun seeing 3 x daily, albeit all rotations are in the afternoon/evening, and for parts of the winter there is no Saturday flight.

Back to the CAA stats themselves and Verona is shown as nil again. Thanks to NOSIGWX, we now know that BRS has been allocating the Verona figures to a tiny airport in the Verona area instead of to Verona Villafranca.

The BRS overall figures were enhanced this month by the European Champions League flights with, for example, an additional 9,000 from/to Madrid, so without the football we'd have had to wait until next month for the 8 million barrier to be breached.
 
Last edited:
July 2017

BRS has published its own stats today. They show that 865,045 passengers used the terminal in the month, up 5.23% on the airport's own figures for July 2016. No 12-month rolling total is shown by the airport but it does show that passenger numbers are up just over 10% for the first seven months of this year compared with the same period in 2016.

The CAA stats will come in at around 875,000 on a similar percentage gain on its July 2016 figures. This is likely to be the lowest percentage monthly gain since March 2015.
 
This Friday is due to be the largest daily passenger arrivals ever in the history of Bristol Airport.
 
8,043,251 up 11.29% - 12m end 31.07.17
CAA stats for July aren't out yet are they? I can't find them on the CAA website.

This Friday is due to be the largest daily passenger arrivals ever in the history of Bristol Airport.
I popped into the terminal around 3 this afternoon and it was heaving then - out of the main peaks too. I'm flying out around that time in a week or two on a Tuesday and as I was in the area I thought I'd have a look. Made me decide to get to the airport a bit earlier than originally planned, especially with the new easyJet bag drop thingy, although one of our posters told us it was a piece of cake. There still seemed to be longish queues into the easyJet snake today though.
 
Again excellent news although it's interesting to note that the growth has slowed down against July last year
 
Again excellent news although it's interesting to note that the growth has slowed down against July last year

Atms were up just 1.14%.

A 5.23% increase in passenger numbers on a 1.14% rise in atms indicates higher loads broadly. With 2016 already seeing very high loads the 'sold out' signs that regularly adorn the easyjet booking engine will be seen more and more, given that easyJet's overall load factor at BRS for the whole of 2016 was over 92%.

2018 will be more of a challenge to sustain even 5 % (it will a higher base figure anyway) although the extra TCX aircraft and increased TUI (again!) plus possibly another easyJet based aircraft (no 15) will help.

If anything more significant comes about for 2018 my concern is that the infrastructure, already reeling at peak times despite the huge investment of the past few years, will struggle to accommodate anything major in the way of passenger increases.
I have a spreadsheet if you want a copy ?

I've sent you a message in Conversations.
 
CAA Stats July 2017

These have been published at last and show that 874,472 passengers used the terminal in the month, up 5% on July 2016. Atms were up 3%. Rolling 12-month total was 8,046,956, up 11.4%.

As usual the CAA stats are noticeably higher than the airport's own - over 9,000 passengers in the month this time.
 
Good loads on the Florence service with ba. With 5 sorties in July making it approx 71 per flight - over 90% load factor.
 
Good loads on the Florence service with ba. With 5 sorties in July making it approx 71 per flight - over 90% load factor.
And nearby Pisa (easyJet) also up by 25% to 8,461 in the month, albeit on the back of an increased number of rotations.
 
It looks like Italy did pretty well during July for BRS.
MXP was up 75% to 1512, Naples was up 27% to 7627, Olbia was up 68% to 4117, Venice up 130% to 12,281 though Ryanair did drop Treviso and move to Venice. Rome is up 4% to 10,843 and Catania up 6% to 2766 though Bologna and Bergamo had slight drops.
Italy does seem to be popular from the South West area.
 
Former Soviet Bloc routes

With talk of eastern and central Europeans returning home in greater numbers than in recent years and a possible reluctance of others to come to the UK because of the Brexit decision, I thought I'd have a look at how these BRS routes were performing recently. July is the latest month for which CAA stats are available so I opted for that month.

I have not included the former Yugoslavia countries or charter flights.

It's obviously only a snapshot and is certainly not claimed to be any sort of scientific study but here are the figures for interest sake only.

It will be seen that most load factors are in the mid to high 90s% with only one (Wizz Air to Sofia at 86.6%) under 90%. Sofia was increased to 3 x weekly from 2 x weekly last summer. Wizz might look again although we don't know yields and anyway the purpose of this exercise was to concentrate on numbers.

Poland

Poznan Ryanair (B738), 2 x weekly, 3366 passengers, ave load 187.0, load factor 98.9%

Rzeszow
Ryanair (B738), 2 x weekly, 3351, 186.2, 98.5%

Wroclaw
Ryanair (B738), 2 x weekly, 3346, 185.9, 98.4%

Gdansk
Ryanair (B738), 2 x weekly, 3344, 185.8, 98.3%

Krakow
Ryanair (B738), 3 x weekly and easyJet (A319), 4 x weekly, 10,223, 164.9*, 97.1%*

Warsaw Modlin
Ryanair (B738), 4 x weekly, 6596, 183.2, 96.9%

Katowice
Wizz Air (A320), 3 x weekly, 4444, 171.0, 95.0%

Warsaw Chopin
Wizz Air (A320), 2 x weekly, 3036, 168.7, 93.7%

* this is the average load across both airlines (189-seat Ryanair/156-seat easyJet) and the percentage figure for Krakow relates to the number of available seats taken across both airlines.

Lithuania

Kaunas
Ryanair (B738), 3 x weekly, 5235, 187.0, 98.9%

Hungary


Budapest Ryanair (B738), 3 x weekly, 4838, 186.1, 98.5%

Romania

Bucharest
Ryanair (B738), 2 x weekly, 3303, 183.5, 97.1%

Czech Republic

Prague
easyJet (A319), 4 x weekly, 5142, 142.8, 91.5%

Bulgaria


Sofia
Wizz Air (A320), 3 x weekly, 4052, 155.8, 86.6%

That's over 60,000 passengers and amounts to around 7% of the airport's passenger numbers in July.



 

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